Updated: August 8, 2026 | PickNexo

The main catalyst is macro. Bitcoin tagged a new August high above US$65,000 after weaker U.S. nonfarm payrolls data cooled expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike. At the same time, the market is still dealing with several major industry stories: Bybit's legal effort to trace funds from the US$1.5 billion North Korea-linked hack, renewed debate over political donations tied to FTX, U.S. CLARITY Act delays, Circle's USDC expansion, Russia's exchange crackdown and the IMF's warning about stablecoins.
The short-term picture is improving, but not fully bullish. Bitcoin is above key support, yet the market still needs sustained ETF demand, clearer regulation and stronger altcoin breadth before investors can call the recovery durable.
Bitcoin reached an August high of about US$65,340 after U.S. labor-market data came in weaker than expected. Cointelegraph reported that nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July, while May and June job gains were revised down by a combined 103,000.

Crypto and stocks both reacted positively. The S&P 500 opened higher, the Nasdaq also gained, and Bitcoin briefly pushed above US$65,000. QCP Capital described crypto's recent price action as resilient rather than a confirmed directional breakout.
For Bitcoin, the key support zone remains US$60,000 to US$62,000. Holding above that range keeps the market constructive. A move toward US$68,500 would be the next important test because CoinDesk's market coverage has highlighted that level as a major breakeven wall.
The biggest security story today is Bybit. Cointelegraph reported that a U.S. federal judge backed Bybit's effort to trace assets stolen in the US$1.5 billion North Korea-linked hack by granting expedited discovery.

The numbers show how difficult crypto recovery can be. Bybit said 90.2% of the stolen assets had become untraceable after moving through mixers, bridges and over-the-counter dealers. Only 9.8% remained traceable, including about US$75.5 million that had been frozen or recovered.
This is important because it shows how crypto crime investigations are moving into formal court processes. Blockchain analytics can identify flows, but legal discovery is needed to connect wallets, exchange accounts and real-world identities.
Self-custody is still under scrutiny after the Coldcard wallet exploit. Cointelegraph published a feature explaining how a low-entropy bug pushed Bitcoin holders to reassess hardware-wallet assumptions, with some users turning to physical entropy methods such as dice rolls.

This does not mean self-custody is broken. It means the implementation details matter. Hardware design, firmware, seed generation, passphrases, derivation paths and user verification all become critical when users hold their own keys.
The broader lesson is that the industry is entering a more mature custody phase. Some investors will prefer ETFs and regulated custodians, while others will double down on verifiable self-custody. Both approaches now face more serious scrutiny.
U.S. regulation remains uncertain. Cointelegraph reported that First Digital CEO Vincent Chok believes the Senate's delay on the CLARITY Act could give Hong Kong and Singapore more time to strengthen their positions as digital asset hubs.

Chok argued that markets can handle slower timelines, but prolonged uncertainty is harder. That is the key point for investors. The U.S. remains one of the most important crypto markets, but regulatory delays can push capital, talent and product launches toward jurisdictions with clearer frameworks.
For Asia, the delay may be an opportunity. Hong Kong and Singapore have both spent years building regulated digital-asset systems, and continued U.S. gridlock may improve their relative position.
Stablecoin infrastructure continues to expand. Cointelegraph reported that Circle has launched native USDC and Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol on X Layer, OKX's Ethereum layer-2 network.

This matters because stablecoins are becoming one of the most practical crypto use cases. They support trading, DeFi lending, payments, cross-border transfers and settlement. Adding native USDC to an exchange-linked layer-2 network could make stablecoin activity more seamless for users and businesses.
Circle also said eligible businesses can access USDC on- and offramps through Circle Mint, which connects the onchain product to real-world treasury operations.
The IMF is warning that local-currency stablecoins may not reduce reliance on dollar-backed tokens. Cointelegraph reported that IMF First Deputy Managing Director Dan Katz said domestic stablecoins could make it easier for users to move into digital dollars once both types of assets share blockchain infrastructure.

Katz said users may favor dollar tokens because of liquidity, network effects and cross-border acceptance. The risk varies by country, but weaker economies or countries with limited dollar access may see additional pressure on local currencies.
For regulators, the takeaway is clear: stablecoin policy must cover onramps, offramps and onchain exchange points, not only issuers.
The business model of crypto is shifting. Cointelegraph's Crypto Biz report argued that stablecoin reserves, tokenized money market funds, Treasury income and balance-sheet management are becoming core profit drivers.

This is a major shift. In earlier cycles, crypto businesses were driven mostly by token speculation, exchange fees and venture-backed growth. Today, the largest revenue opportunities are increasingly tied to reserves, collateral, tokenized Treasury products, stablecoin distribution and institutional financial infrastructure.
For the industry, that is maturity. For investors, it also means business models may become more sensitive to interest rates, regulation and balance-sheet quality.
Russia remains a major regulatory story. Cointelegraph reported that Russia's Federal Security Service raided nine unregistered crypto exchange services in Moscow City over alleged money laundering tied to scam proceeds.

The operation comes shortly after Russia signed a new law creating a regulated crypto market framework. Together, these moves show a two-track approach: build official crypto rails while cracking down on unregistered activity.
For global crypto firms, the message is familiar. Compliance, registration and transaction monitoring are becoming increasingly important as governments focus on fraud, sanctions and cross-border fund flows.
The first signal is Bitcoin's US$60,000 to US$62,000 support zone. Holding above it keeps the recovery case alive.
The second signal is US jobs and Fed expectations. Softer labor data helped Bitcoin, but a growth scare could still pressure risk assets.
The third signal is the US$68,500 breakeven wall. A clean move above that area would strengthen the bullish case.
The fourth signal is custody confidence. Bybit's court case and the Coldcard fallout both keep security in focus.
The fifth signal is CLARITY Act timing. U.S. delays could help Hong Kong and Singapore compete for crypto capital.
The sixth signal is stablecoin infrastructure. USDC on X Layer and IMF warnings both show stablecoins are becoming systemic.
The seventh signal is regulatory enforcement. Russia's exchange crackdown shows that unregistered crypto activity remains a major target.
Crypto markets are steadier today. Bitcoin is near US$65,000, Ethereum is around US$1,920 and Solana is near US$76. Weaker U.S. jobs data has cooled rate-hike bets and helped risk assets recover.
The short-term picture is constructive but still fragile. Bitcoin is above key support, but it needs stronger ETF demand, better altcoin breadth and a move toward US$68,500 to confirm a more durable recovery.
The long-term picture is more structural. Bybit's court-backed hack investigation shows crypto crime enforcement is becoming more sophisticated, Circle's USDC expansion shows stablecoin rails are still growing, and the IMF's warning shows digital dollars are becoming a global monetary issue.
For investors, this remains a selective market. For the industry, the message is clear: crypto adoption is advancing, but the next phase will depend on macro liquidity, custody trust, stablecoin regulation, crosschain infrastructure and stronger compliance.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Sources: Cointelegraph: Crypto Today, Cointelegraph: Bitcoin Jobs Data, Cointelegraph: Bybit Hack Funds, Cointelegraph: Coldcard Self-Custody, Cointelegraph: USDC on OKX X Layer, Cointelegraph: IMF Stablecoins, Cointelegraph: Crypto Biz, Cointelegraph: Russia Exchange Crackdown, CoinDesk.